Direct Line Group PLC Trading Update for Q3 2023

Q3 REFLECTS CONTINUED IMPACT OF MANAGEMENT ACTIONS TO RESTORE CAPITAL RESILIENCE AND IMPROVE PERFORMANCE IN MOTOR

Trading summary

Q3 2023

Change to Q3 2022

9 months

Change to 9  months 2022

 

 

2023

 

£m

£m

Gross written premium and associated fees2

 

 

 

 

Motor direct own brands3

 425.8 

 13.2% 

 1,161.5 

 9.1% 

Motor partnerships4

 401.0 

N/A5

 424.0 

N/A5

Motor

 826.8 

 115.4% 

 1,585.5 

 45.4% 

Home direct own brands3

 107.2 

 2.7% 

 290.7 

 1.5% 

Home partnerships

 37.2 

 7.5% 

 106.4 

 3.4% 

Home

 144.4 

 3.9% 

 397.1 

 2.0% 

Green Flag Rescue

 27.7 

 (3.5%)

 68.6 

 (0.9%)

Other Rescue and other personal lines

 48.5 

 (3.2%)

 138.3 

 (4.8%)

Rescue and other personal lines

 76.2 

 (3.3%)

 206.9 

 (3.5%)

Commercial direct own brands3

 63.0 

 8.2% 

 182.2 

 10.8% 

Ongoing operations6

 1,110.4 

 68.3% 

 2,371.7 

 27.6% 

Brokered Commercial insurance

 137.5 

 18.3% 

 491.0 

 26.6% 

Run-off partnerships6

 34.5 

 10.6% 

 106.8 

 27.6% 

Total Group

 1,282.4 

 58.9% 

 2,969.5 

 27.4% 

 

30 Sep
2023

Change to 30 Jun 2023

 

Change to 31 Dec 2022

In-force policies - ongoing operations6,7 (thousands)

9,518

 4.9% 

 

 1.3% 

 

Trading update

  • Total in force policies for ongoing operations up 4.9% in the third quarter, including around 725,000 Motability customers.
  • Growth of 27.6% year to date in gross written premium and associated fees for ongoing operations, driven by premium rate increases in Motor and commencement of the Motability partnership4. Motor direct own brands8 average premium in Q3 up 37% compared with Q3 2022.
  • Other business lines traded in line with previous trends, with premium growth in Home and Commercial Direct.
  • Assumption for 2023 claims inflation9 for Motor and Home unchanged at high single digits.
  • Claims from weather events to date, including recent storms, are currently estimated to be within the Group's annual assumption.
  • Shareholder approval obtained for sale of the Group's brokered commercial business to RSA Insurance Limited, with initial consideration of £520 million received on 26 October 2023.

 

Jon Greenwood, Acting CEO of Direct Line Group, commented

“Throughout Q3 we have continued to address our three key priorities: to restore our capital resilience, improve our performance in Motor and maintain our performance in our other businesses.

"The sale of our brokered commercial business to RSA Insurance Limited strengthens our business strategically and financially.

"In Motor, we can see the pricing actions we have taken come through in strong premium growth during the quarter and we believe we are writing profitably, consistent with a 10% net insurance margin. At the same time, we have continued to progress our strategic agenda, launching Direct Line Essentials in Motor, which improves our competitiveness in the direct market, and we have welcomed around 725,000 Motability customers.

"We are confident that the decisive actions we are taking sets the Group up for improved performance going forward."

 

For further information, please contact

 

 

PAUL SMITH

DIRECTOR OF BUSINESS PERFORMANCE AND INVESTOR RELATIONS

 

ALAN OLIVER

GROUP COMMUNICATIONS

Email: [email protected]

 

Email: [email protected]

Mobile: +44 (0)7795 811263

 

Mobile: +44 (0)7385 481295

 

APPENDIX 1: Gross written premium and associated fees2

Q3 2023

Q2 2023

Q1 2023

Q4 2022

Q3 2022

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Gross written premium and associated fees2

 

 

 

 

 

Motor direct own brands3

 425.8 

 391.3 

 352.9 

 333.6 

 376.1 

Motor partnerships4

 401.0 

 8.7 

 5.8 

 8.5 

 7.7 

Motor

 826.8 

 400.0 

 358.7 

 342.1 

 383.8 

Home direct own brands3

 107.2 

 89.1 

 94.4 

 95.0 

 104.4 

Home partnerships

 37.2 

 34.6 

 34.6 

 33.7 

 34.6 

Home

 144.4 

 123.7 

 129.0 

 128.7 

 139.0 

Green Flag Rescue

 27.7 

 21.5 

 19.4 

 19.0 

 28.7 

Other Rescue and other personal lines

 48.5 

 44.9 

 45.3 

 40.4 

 50.1 

Rescue and other personal lines

 76.2 

 66.4 

 64.7 

 59.4 

 78.8 

Commercial direct own brands3

 63.0 

 56.8 

 62.4 

 54.5 

 58.2 

Ongoing operations6

 1,110.4 

 646.9 

 614.8 

 584.7 

 659.8 

Brokered Commercial insurance

 137.5 

 196.7 

 156.9 

 142.6 

 116.2 

Run-off partnerships6

 34.5 

 38.3 

 34.0 

 40.7 

 31.2 

Total Group

 1,282.4 

 881.9 

 805.7 

 768.0 

 807.2 

 

APPENDIX 2: In-force policies by segment4 (thousands)

30 Sep
2023

30 Jun
2023

31 Mar
2023

31 Dec
2022

30 Sep
2022

Motor direct own brands3

 3,441 

 3,607 

 3,669 

 3,756 

 3,766 

Motor partnerships4

 795 

 66 

 72 

 80 

 88 

Motor

 4,236 

 3,673 

 3,741 

 3,836 

 3,854 

Home direct own brands3

 1,686 

 1,705 

 1,731 

 1,732 

 1,758 

Home partnerships

 748 

 759 

 765 

 769 

 775 

Home

 2,434 

 2,464 

 2,496 

 2,501 

 2,533 

Green Flag Rescue

 1,062 

 1,093 

 1,073 

 1,106 

 1,136 

Other Rescue and other personal lines

 1,134 

 1,196 

 1,275 

 1,318 

 1,336 

Rescue and other personal lines

 2,196 

 2,289 

 2,348 

 2,424 

 2,472 

Commercial direct own brands3,7

 652 

 645 

 643 

 636 

 644 

Ongoing operations6,7

 9,518 

 9,071 

 9,228 

 9,397 

 9,503 

Brokered Commercial insurance

 291 

 293 

 287 

 277 

 268 

Run-off partnerships6

 2,221 

 2,199 

 2,187 

 2,188 

 3,315 

Total Group

 12,030 

 11,563 

 11,702 

 11,862 

 13,086 

 

APPENDIX 3: Motor and Home average premium (£)

​£

Q3 2023

Q2 2023

Q1 2023

Q4 2022

Q3 2022

New business

 588 

 532 

 478 

 474 

 472 

Renewal

 480 

 412 

 373 

 362 

 343 

Motor direct own brands8

 507 

 445 

 401 

 392 

 372 

New business

 214 

 204 

 188 

 201 

 214 

Renewal

 257 

 249 

 230 

 226 

 215 

Home direct own brands

 250 

 243 

 224 

 223 

 215 

Notes:

1.     Direct Line Group’s Trading Update relates to the three months and nine months ended 30 September 2023 and contains information to the date of publication.

2.    The total premiums from insurance contracts that were incepted during the period, including the impact of a contractual change to Green Flag premium such that a portion of income that was previously included in gross written premium is now included in service fee income.

3.    Direct own brands include in-force policies for Home and Motor under the Direct Line, Churchill, Darwin, Privilege and By Miles brands and Commercial policies under the Direct Line for Business and Churchill brands.

4.   Motor partnerships includes the Motability partnership, which has an initial term of 7 months from 1 September 2023. Subsequently, Motability premiums are repriced twice a year on 1 April and 1 October with gross written premium recognised twice a year on the same dates. As the Motability contract is a fleet contract, Motability customer numbers are used to allow a more representative presentation of the Group's in-force policies.

5.    As stated in footnote 4, above, the Motability partnership started on 1 September 2023, with no comparatives available resulting in significant distortion in comparatives for Motor partnerships as a whole.

6.    Ongoing operations – the Group has excluded a number of Rescue and other personal lines partnerships from its ongoing operations results. The run-off partnerships relate to a Rescue partnership with NatWest Group that expired in December 2022 and Travel partnerships with NatWest Group and Nationwide Building Society which expire in 2024, and which the Group has already indicated that it will not be seeking to renew. Relevant prior-year data has been restated accordingly.

7.    In-force policies as at 31 December 2022 and 31 March 2023 have been restated to remove 14,500 and 19,700 direct own brand policies respectively that were previously included in the reported amounts in error.

8.   Excluding the ByMiles brand.

9.    Based on attritional claims.