What is the price of security? Relationship between crime and house prices revealed

  • Analysis shows that as house prices in an area rise, the burglary rate falls
  • House prices across England and Wales have risen by 37 per cent over last five years – while crime has fallen by 28 per cent
  • London has experienced the fastest house price increase and the sharpest fall in burglaries
  • One in every 67 properties across England and Wales was burgled in 2016
     

New analysis from Churchill Home Insurance reveals the correlation between rising house prices and falling burglary rates across the country. The insurer’s analysis shows that there is a direct correlation between property values and crime levels, with the counties experiencing the sharpest rise in property prices also likely to experience the biggest decrease in reported burglaries.

Across the ten regions in England and Wales, house prices1 rose from an average of £199,493 in 2011 to £274,228 last year an increase of nearly £75,000, or 37 per cent. Over the same time frame, the number of burglaries2 has fallen by over a quarter (28 per cent), dropping from over 500,000 five years ago to 360,000 in 2016 – a fall of 140,000.

Homeowners in London, having already been boosted by average increases in house prices of 58 per cent, from £331,210 in 2011 to £523,968 last year, have also seen burglary rates plummet by 64 per cent over the same period. In 2011, London had the highest number of burglaries of any region in England and Wales, with a total of 96,213 reported burglaries – or 264 every day. This number fell to 34,751 in 2016, an average of just 95 every day.

London is followed by the South East, which saw property prices rise by 41 per cent and burglary rates fall by 27 per cent between 2011 and 2016. The North East was the only region to experience a rise in burglaries over five years, with a five per cent increase coupled with a four per cent rise in property prices.

 

Table one: Five-year house price and burglary rate changes in regions across England and Wales

Region

Change in property prices

(2016 vs 2011)

Change in number of burglaries

(2016 vs 2011)

London

+58 per cent

-64 per cent

South East

+41 per cent

-27 per cent

South West

+25 per cent

-33 per cent

East of England

+41 per cent

-16 per cent

Yorkshire & Humberside

+13 per cent

-27 per cent

West Midlands

+17 per cent

-1 per cent

Wales

+10 per cent

-23 per cent

East Midlands

+20 per cent

-12 per cent

North West

+11 per cent

-10 per cent

North East

+4 per cent

+6 per cent

All England and Wales

+37 per cent

-28 per cent

Source: Churchill Home Insurance 2017
 

Churchill’s analysis also reveals that while the number of burglaries in England and Wales has fallen significantly in recent years, households are still under threat from intruders, as one in every 67 households was the victim of burglary last year3. In spite of London having the largest number of households in England and Wales, its residents have the lowest chance of being the victims of a break-in, with one in 94 properties being burgled in 2016. This is more than twice the amount in Yorkshire and Humberside, where one in every 49 properties was burgled.

Martin Scott, head of Churchill home insurance said: “It is interesting to see a correlation between the price of houses and the level of crime in an area. However, while house prices can have an impact on the surrounding neighbourhood, it is always wise to be vigilant to the threat of burglary and take steps to ensure that the home’s contents are kept safe.

“While it is encouraging to see that the number of burglaries across England and Wales has fallen in the past five years, the fact remains that the average property has a one in 67 chance of being burgled. This is why it is important to take basic safety precautions, from remembering to double lock the front door to installing a security alarm, and ensuring that the property has comprehensive contents cover in the event that a break-in does occur.”
 

Table two:  Number of properties per burglary across England and Wales, 2011 – 2016

Region

Households per burglary,

2011

Households per burglary,

2016

London

33

94

South West

58

89

Wales

60

82

South East

56

80

North East

80

79

East of England

57

70

West Midlands

45

57

North West

47

52

East Midlands

44

51

Yorkshire & Humberside

35

49

All England and Wales

47

67

Source: Churchill Home Insurance 2017
 

Churchill Home Insurance offers a 24/7 burglary response to its customers which means, day or night, Churchill’s burglary response team is available to make the property secure after it has been broken into4. Following a break in, Churchill will send an engineer to replace all damaged locks with a British standard lock and temporarily secure damaged windows and doors.


Churchill’s top tips for protecting your property are:

  • Ensure any security features which allow you to track your phone or tablet are turned on as this will help police locate your device should it be stolen. If you are burgled, also call your contract provider immediately and have the line and phone blocked
  • If you have a security alarm, use it and keep it clean so it looks like it is used and serviced regularly. Burglars will be able to tell if the alarm is not in use
  • The best burglary deterrent is for the home to be occupied, so if you are away ask neighbours to pop around, leave a light on or invest in timed lights. Don’t make it obvious that no one is home
  • Think like a burglar and see where the best points of entry to your home are. Make sure all windows and doors are locked when you are out
  • Try not to leave packaging for new expensive goods outside your home. It is better to take it to a public recycling centre, as it can attract burglars. Do not leave expensive, portable items like tablets or laptops in clear view
  • If you keep power tools, golf clubs or garden equipment in an outbuilding or shed, make sure the shed is locked and/or has security features such as an alarm or security light
     

ENDS
 

Notes to Editor

1 Average house prices for 2011 and 2016 taken from the Land Registry’s UK House Price Index

2  Burglary numbers for 2011 and 2016 taken from UKCrimeStats.com.

3   Number of households per region taken from the “Total number of households by region and country of the UK, 1996 to 2016” dataset, published by the ONS on 17 February 2016.  Please note this figure is indicative and does not take into account multiple break-ins at a single property. 

4  Churchill’s 24/7 burglary response ensures that day or night an engineer will be available to temporarily secure damaged windows and doors. Excludes Highlands and Islands. Policy and Cover limits apply. Underwritten by UK Insurance Ltd. 
 

For further information please contact:

Claire Foster 

Churchill PR Manager

01651831672 

07525665504
 

Churchill

Founded in 1989, Churchill is now one of the UK's leading providers of general insurance, offering car, home, travel and pet insurance cover over the phone or on-line.

Churchill general insurance policies are underwritten by U K Insurance Limited, Registered office: The Wharf, Neville Street, Leeds LS1 4AZ. Registered in England and Wales No 1179980. U K Insurance Limited is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority.  

Churchill and U K Insurance Limited are both part of Direct Line Insurance Group plc.  

Customers can find out more about Churchill products or get a quote by calling 0300 200300 or visiting www.churchill.com